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3 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks We Find Risky

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Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on the stocks in this article, with price targets suggesting significant upside potential. However, it’s worth remembering that analysts rarely issue sell ratings, partly because their firms often seek other business from the same companies they cover.

Luckily for you, we at StockStory have no conflicts of interest - our sole job is to help you find genuinely promising companies. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s enthusiasm may be misplaced and some other investments worth exploring instead.

Pegasystems (PEGA)

Consensus Price Target: $41.57 (21.1% implied return)

With a "Center-out Business Architecture" approach that transcends organizational silos, Pegasystems (NASDAQ: PEGA) develops software that helps organizations automate workflows and use artificial intelligence to improve customer experiences and business processes.

Why Are We Out on PEGA?

  1. Average billings growth of 3.6% over the last year was subpar, suggesting it struggled to push its software and might have to lower prices to stimulate demand
  2. Customer acquisition costs take a while to recoup, making it difficult to justify sales and marketing investments that could increase revenue
  3. Efficiency has decreased over the last year as its operating margin fell by 6.5 percentage points

Pegasystems’s stock price of $34.34 implies a valuation ratio of 3.1x forward price-to-sales. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why PEGA doesn’t pass our bar.

Trimble (TRMB)

Consensus Price Target: $79.40 (32.2% implied return)

Playing a role in the construction of the Paris Grand, Trimble (NASDAQ: TRMB) offers geospatial devices and technology to the agriculture, construction, transportation, and logistics industries.

Why Is TRMB Not Exciting?

  1. Products and services are facing end-market challenges during this cycle, as seen in its flat sales over the last two years
  2. Earnings growth over the last five years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 6% annually
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively, and its shrinking returns suggest its past profit sources are losing steam

Trimble is trading at $60.05 per share, or 15.4x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with TRMB, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Graphic Packaging Holding (GPK)

Consensus Price Target: $10.95 (30.1% implied return)

Founded in 1991, Graphic Packaging (NYSE: GPK) is a provider of paper-based packaging solutions for a wide range of products.

Why Do We Think GPK Will Underperform?

  1. Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 2.5% annually over the last two years
  2. Estimated sales for the next 12 months are flat and imply a softer demand environment
  3. Earnings per share have dipped by 36.8% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term

At $8.42 per share, Graphic Packaging Holding trades at 10.2x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including GPK in your portfolio.

Stocks We Like More

ALSO WORTH WATCHING: Top 5 Momentum Stocks. The best time to own a great stock is when the market is finally noticing it. These aren’t just high-quality businesses. Something is happening with them right now. Elite fundamentals meet near-term momentum — both boxes checked at the same time.

Find out which stocks our AI platform is flagging this week. See this week’s Strong Momentum stocks — FREE. Get Our Strong Momentum Stocks for Free HERE.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,460% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+214% between June 2020 and June 2025). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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