
What happened?
Shares of cosmetics company e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF) jumped 8.5% in the afternoon session after the company reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 results that came in above Wall Street estimates and raised its full-year outlook.
According to the company's release, revenue was $520.8 million, up 51.4% year on year, above S&P analysts' estimates of $475.3 million. Adjusted earnings were $1.21 a share, above estimates of 60 cents. Adjusted EBITDA was $123.4 million, above estimates of $76.8 million. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook to about $2.02 billion at the midpoint, above estimates, from $1.95 billion. It raised its full-year adjusted earnings outlook to about $3.84 at the midpoint, and its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook to about $424 million, above estimates of $408.6 million.
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What is the market telling us
e.l.f. Beauty’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 31 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 5 months ago when the stock gained 6.4% on the news that markets rotated into defensive names following the release of the May CPI report.
The headline 4.2% annual inflation reading spooked the market, but the breakdown matters: energy drove more than 60% of May's monthly price increase, while food at home rose just 0.1% and core inflation came in at only 0.2% for the month. For staples companies whose input costs are food, packaging, and household goods that is a margin reprieve.
The World Cup, which kicks off later in the week across U.S., Mexican, and Canadian host cities, added a near-term catalyst. Goldman Sachs has buy ratings on AB InBev, Constellation Brands, and Heineken specifically on tournament beer demand.
e.l.f. Beauty is up 51.6% since the beginning of the year, and at $118.00 per share, it has set a new 52-week high. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of e.l.f. Beauty’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $3,811.
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