Business development company Main Street Capital (NYSE: MAIN) will be announcing earnings results this Thursday after market hours. Here’s what to look for.
Main Street Capital met analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $139.8 million, up 2.2% year on year. It was a mixed quarter for the company, with EPS in line with analysts’ estimates.
Is Main Street Capital a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.
This quarter, the market is expecting Main Street Capital’s revenue to grow 1.8% year on year, slowing from the 8.6% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Main Street Capital has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years.
Looking at Main Street Capital’s peers in the specialty finance segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 12.2%, beating analysts’ expectations by 33.3%, and Capital Southwest reported revenues up 18.2%, topping estimates by 5.3%. HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital traded up 10.8% following the results while Capital Southwest’s stock price was unchanged.
Read our full analysis of HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital’s results here and Capital Southwest’s results here.
Questions about potential tariffs and corporate tax changes have caused much volatility in 2025. While some of the specialty finance stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 8.9% on average over the last month. Main Street Capital is down 9.7% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $63.43 (compared to the current share price of $57.62).
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