
Pet-focused retailer Petco (NASDAQ: WOOF) met Wall Streets revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, but sales fell by 3.1% year on year to $1.46 billion. Its GAAP profit of $0.03 per share was significantly above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Petco (WOOF) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1.46 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.47 billion (3.1% year-on-year decline, in line)
- EPS (GAAP): $0.03 vs analyst estimates of -$0.01 (significant beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $98.56 million vs analyst estimates of $94.81 million (6.7% margin, 4% beat)
- EBITDA guidance for the full year is $396 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
- Operating Margin: 2%, up from 0.3% in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales fell 2.2% year on year (1.8% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $832.4 million
StockStory’s Take
Petco’s third quarter drew a positive market response, reflecting management’s focus on operational discipline and foundational improvements. CEO Joel Anderson credited enhanced retail fundamentals and disciplined expense management for driving better profitability, despite a year-on-year sales decline. The company’s strategy to streamline operations included shifting away from unprofitable sales and strengthening in-store execution. CFO Sabrina Simmons highlighted an expanding operating margin and improved cash flow, stating, “Savings were achieved across the board, in especially in G&A areas,” while also noting that marketing spend remained flat. This disciplined approach supported a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.
Looking forward, Petco’s guidance hinges on a multi-pillar strategy designed to restore revenue growth while maintaining margin discipline. Management emphasized investments in new product assortments, enhanced digital capabilities, and integration between services and stores. Anderson outlined a path to growth centered on delivering a more compelling product mix, improving the in-store experience, scaling services, and strengthening omnichannel offerings. Simmons noted that, while tariffs and selective reinvestment will weigh on margins in the near term, the company expects these measures to set the stage for a return to sales growth in 2026. Testing of a revamped membership program and further digital enhancements are planned as core growth drivers.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management attributed margin expansion and improved profitability to tighter expense controls, operational streamlining, and a sharper focus on high-value customer segments, even as top-line sales remained pressured.
- Expense discipline and margin gains: The company’s cost management efforts led to operating margin expansion, with savings across general and administrative costs and a disciplined approach to marketing expenditures. This enabled Petco to increase profitability despite lower sales volumes.
- Store network optimization: Management continued to close underperforming stores, resulting in 25 net closures in 2024 and an additional 9 stores closed year-to-date. This rationalization allowed for higher in-stock rates and greater inventory efficiency, supporting improved cash flow.
- Services category momentum: Petco’s wholly owned services—including grooming and veterinary clinics—remained its fastest-growing segment. Enhanced staffing, digital booking tools, and improved integration between service and retail are expected to be key differentiators.
- Product assortment shift: Anderson described a move from a “set it and forget it” mentality to a dynamic, needs-and-wants-based assortment. Initiatives included rolling out trend-driven products, such as the My Human line, and expanding impulse purchase options to drive customer engagement.
- Tariff impact management: The third quarter marked the first meaningful impact of tariffs on cost of goods sold, particularly affecting private label supplies. Simmons stated the impact was manageable but would be more pronounced in the fourth quarter, with pricing and promotional strategies being monitored for consumer response.
Drivers of Future Performance
Petco expects revenue growth to return in the next year, driven by strategic product enhancements, service expansion, and digital transformation, with near-term margin headwinds from tariffs and targeted investments.
- Omnichannel and membership initiatives: Management is piloting a revamped membership program and investing in seamless digital-to-store integration. These efforts are designed to improve customer retention and spending, with Anderson calling the membership rollout “a really important element to our growth that’s gonna begin in 2026.”
- Service utilization and integration: The company aims to boost hospital and grooming appointment utilization by increasing staffing, standardizing processes, and linking service data to in-store recommendations. CFO Simmons emphasized the “halo effect” of service engagement on broader customer spend.
- Tariff and cost headwinds: Tariffs on private label supplies are expected to create incremental cost pressures in the near term. Management plans to offset these with disciplined pricing and promotional strategies, while selectively increasing investment in marketing and labor to support long-term growth.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) the pace and scale of Petco’s membership program pilot and broader digital enhancements, (2) further improvements in service utilization and integration with retail operations, and (3) management’s ability to navigate tariff headwinds while maintaining margin gains. Execution on product assortment changes and customer engagement strategies will also be critical markers of progress.
Petco currently trades at $3.23, up from $2.97 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
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