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Allegion (ALLE) Q4 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For

ALLE Cover Image

Security hardware provider Allegion (NYSE:ALLE) will be announcing earnings results tomorrow before the bell. Here’s what to expect.

Allegion met analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $967.1 million, up 5.4% year on year. It was a mixed quarter for the company, with full-year EPS guidance beating analysts’ expectations but a slight miss of analysts’ organic revenue estimates.

Is Allegion a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free.

This quarter, analysts are expecting Allegion’s revenue to grow 4.5% year on year to $937.9 million, in line with the 4.2% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $1.75 per share.

Allegion Total Revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Allegion has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates three times over the last two years.

Looking at Allegion’s peers in the electrical systems segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. LSI delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 35.5%, beating analysts’ expectations by 14.3%, and Vertiv reported revenues up 25.8%, topping estimates by 8.8%. LSI traded up 11.7% following the results while Vertiv was down 11.3%.

Read our full analysis of LSI’s results here and Vertiv’s results here.

Stocks generally had a good 2024. The Fed fought high inflation and won without sending the economy into a recession, otherwise lovingly known as a soft landing. The US Central Band is now cutting rates. That, plus the election of Donald Trump in November 2024, sent markets even higher, and while some of the electrical systems stocks have shown solid performance, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 4.6% on average over the last month. Allegion is down 1.2% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $143.75 (compared to the current share price of $133.39).

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