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3 Reasons to Sell FNKO and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

FNKO Cover Image

Funko has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small return of 1.6% while holding steady at $3.19.

Is there a buying opportunity in Funko, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Funko Will Underperform?

We're cautious about Funko. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than FNKO and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, Funko’s sales grew at a weak 6.8% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the consumer discretionary sector.

Funko Quarterly Revenue

2. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, Funko’s ROIC has unfortunately decreased significantly. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

Funko Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

3. Short Cash Runway Exposes Shareholders to Potential Dilution

As long-term investors, the risk we care about most is the permanent loss of capital, which can happen when a company goes bankrupt or raises money from a disadvantaged position. This is separate from short-term stock price volatility, something we are much less bothered by.

Funko burned through $36.27 million of cash over the last year, and its $225.3 million of debt exceeds the $42.15 million of cash on its balance sheet. This is a deal breaker for us because indebted loss-making companies spell trouble.

Funko Net Debt Position

Unless the Funko’s fundamentals change quickly, it might find itself in a position where it must raise capital from investors to continue operating. Whether that would be favorable is unclear because dilution is a headwind for shareholder returns.

We remain cautious of Funko until it generates consistent free cash flow or any of its announced financing plans materialize on its balance sheet.

Final Judgment

We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of Funko, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. That said, the stock currently trades at 4.8× forward EV-to-EBITDA (or $3.19 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are better investments elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at a safe-and-steady industrials business benefiting from an upgrade cycle.

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