3 Reasons to Avoid IFF and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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IFF Cover Image

International Flavors & Fragrances has had an impressive run over the past six months as its shares have beaten the S&P 500 by 5.5%. The stock now trades at $76.21, marking a 17% gain. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in International Flavors & Fragrances, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.

Why Do We Think International Flavors & Fragrances Will Underperform?

We’re happy investors have made money, but we're cautious about International Flavors & Fragrances. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than IFF and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Spiraling Downwards

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. International Flavors & Fragrances’s demand was weak over the last three years as its sales fell at a 4.1% annual rate. This was below our standards and is a sign of poor business quality.

International Flavors & Fragrances Quarterly Revenue

2. Projected Revenue Growth Shows Limited Upside

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect International Flavors & Fragrances’s revenue to stall. While this projection implies its newer products will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

3. Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

International Flavors & Fragrances’s five-year average ROIC was negative 2.3%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business. Its returns were among the worst in the consumer staples sector.

International Flavors & Fragrances Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of International Flavors & Fragrances, we’re out. With its shares beating the market recently, the stock trades at 17.6× forward P/E (or $76.21 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at one of our all-time favorite software stocks.

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