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Constellation Brands’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

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Constellation Brands' second quarter saw revenue and profit come in below Wall Street expectations, yet the market responded positively. Management attributed the results to a combination of continued consumer caution, especially among Hispanic shoppers, and a highly competitive landscape in beer. CEO Bill Newlands emphasized that while consumer visits are down, spending per visit remains robust, and the company has seen shelf share gains and increased brand loyalty. The quarter also reflected higher marketing investment, with Newlands noting, “Modelo and Corona are the #1 and #2 share of voice within the Beer sector for marketing.”

Is now the time to buy STZ? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Constellation Brands (STZ) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.52 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.55 billion (5.5% year-on-year decline, 1.5% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $3.22 vs analyst expectations of $3.29 (2.3% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $911.9 million vs analyst estimates of $950.5 million (36.3% margin, 4.1% miss)
  • Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $12.75 at the midpoint
  • Operating Margin: 28.4%, down from 35.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 4% year on year (6% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $30.03 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Constellation Brands’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Dara Mohsenian (Morgan Stanley) asked about the confidence in beer revenue and margin guidance amid industry weakness. CEO Bill Newlands cited easier upcoming sales comparisons, and CFO Garth Hankinson said the impact of new tariffs would be modest, with margins targeted in line with prior expectations.
  • Sunil Harshad Modi (RBC) inquired about the impact of consumer uncertainty among Hispanic shoppers and the timing of a rebound. Newlands explained loyalty remains strong, but visits are down due to macro pressures, and timing for improvement is difficult to predict.
  • Lauren Rae Lieberman (Barclays) questioned the uptick in marketing spend and competitive dynamics. Newlands said increased marketing was seasonal and strategic, targeting high-impact events to support brand health against growing competition.
  • Christopher Michael Carey (Wells Fargo Securities) asked if the company would consider diversifying beyond beer. Newlands highlighted ongoing innovation, such as the expansion of non-alcoholic offerings and new product launches, but maintained focus on core categories.
  • Filippo Falorni (Citi) probed the pricing environment and increased promotions. Hankinson acknowledged more promotional activity in the market but emphasized the company’s focus on building share in high-end light beer through targeted pricing adjustments.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and breadth of distribution gains for new and existing brands, (2) the impact of price pack architecture changes and targeted pricing on volume and margin, and (3) how well increased marketing spend translates into share gains amid heightened competition. Ongoing consumer sentiment and the effectiveness of hedging strategies will also be critical to monitor.

Constellation Brands currently trades at $171, up from $166.48 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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