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3 Reasons to Sell GLW and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

GLW Cover Image

What a fantastic six months it’s been for Corning. Shares of the company have skyrocketed 87.4%, hitting $88.03. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in Corning, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Is Corning Not Exciting?

Despite the momentum, we're swiping left on Corning for now. Here are three reasons why GLW doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Lackluster Revenue Growth

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Corning’s annualized revenue growth of 6.7% over the last two years aligns with its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was consistently weak. Corning Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

2. Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.

As you can see below, Corning’s margin dropped by 4.4 percentage points over the last five years. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity. Corning’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 8.8%.

Corning Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. Previous Growth Initiatives Haven’t Impressed

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Corning historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 6.2%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Corning Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Corning isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. Following the recent rally, the stock trades at 30× forward P/E (or $88.03 per share). Investors with a higher risk tolerance might like the company, but we think the potential downside is too great. We're pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. We’d suggest looking at one of Charlie Munger’s all-time favorite businesses.

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