Skip to main content

Marriott Vacations’s Q1 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

VAC Cover Image

Marriott Vacations' first quarter results elicited a positive reaction from the market, as management highlighted growth in first-time buyer sales and operational progress despite flat revenue. CEO John Geller attributed the quarter’s performance to ongoing modernization efforts, which are designed to boost revenue growth and drive cost efficiencies. These initiatives led to a 6% increase in first-time buyer sales, even as overall guest arrivals declined due to fewer owner arrivals. Geller emphasized the company’s ability to adapt its sales strategies and leverage data analytics, stating, “We are leveraging data and analytics to improve the quality of our tours.”

Is now the time to buy VAC? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Marriott Vacations (VAC) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.2 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.21 billion (flat year on year, 0.9% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.66 vs analyst estimates of $1.43 (15.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $192 million vs analyst estimates of $174.9 million (16% margin, 9.8% beat)
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $6.75 at the midpoint, a 1.5% increase
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $765 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $742.7 million
  • Operating Margin: 10.8%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Guests: 1.54 million, down 28,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $2.77 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Marriott Vacations’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Ben Chaiken (Mizuho Securities) asked about contract sales trends in March and April, and CEO John Geller confirmed a 4% decline in March with similar trends in April, but noted first-time buyer VPGs improved in April.
  • Patrick Scholes (Truist Securities) requested clarity on inventory mix adjustments, and CFO Jason Marino explained that shifting to lower-cost repurchased inventory and modulating product mix help reduce overall product costs.
  • David Katz (Jefferies) asked about efforts to improve tour flow and package activation, with Geller highlighting increased use of data analytics to target and rank tour packages by likelihood to buy.
  • Stephen Grambling (Morgan Stanley) inquired about owner growth targets, and Geller indicated ongoing efforts to increase the mix of first-time buyers while maintaining net owner growth after attrition.
  • Shaun Kelley (Bank of America) questioned the mechanics of inventory cost reduction, with Geller clarifying that both lower repurchase prices and shifts in product mix contribute to lowering the weighted average product cost.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will closely monitor (1) the pace of owner arrivals and tour flow improvements as indicators of sales momentum, (2) the impact of digital channel enhancements and AI implementation on owner engagement and cost savings, and (3) progress toward targeted cost reductions from modernization initiatives. Developments in inventory management and noncore asset sales will also be important to track.

Marriott Vacations currently trades at $80.41, up from $58.20 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.