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What to expect from AXIS Capital’s (AXS) Q3 earnings

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Global specialty insurer AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: AXS) will be reporting earnings this Wednesday after market hours. Here’s what you need to know.

AXIS Capital missed analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $1.71 billion, up 7.3% year on year. It was a disappointing quarter for the company, with a significant miss of analysts’ net premiums earned estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Is AXIS Capital a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.

This quarter, the market is expecting AXIS Capital’s revenue to grow 6.7% year on year, improving from the 4.1% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year.

AXIS Capital total revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business will stay the course heading into earnings. AXIS Capital has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates multiple times over the last two years.

Looking at AXIS Capital’s peers in the insurance segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. RLI delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 5.3%, beating analysts’ expectations by 0.5%, and Travelers reported flat revenue, topping estimates by 0.7%. RLI traded up 2.5% following the results while Travelers’s stock price was unchanged.

Read our full analysis of RLI’s results here and Travelers’s results here.

There has been positive sentiment among investors in the insurance segment, with share prices up 5.7% on average over the last month. AXIS Capital is up 8.5% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $119.55 (compared to the current share price of $102.50).

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