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3 Inflated Stocks We Find Risky

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CTOS Cover Image

Each stock in this article is trading near its 52-week high. These elevated prices usually indicate some degree of investor confidence, business improvements, or favorable market conditions.

But not every company with momentum is a long-term winner, and plenty of investors have lost money betting on short-term fads. On that note, here are three overhyped stocks that may correct and some you should consider instead.

Custom Truck One Source (CTOS)

One-Month Return: +24.8%

Inspired by a family gas station, Custom Truck One Source (NYSE: CTOS) is a distributor of trucks and heavy equipment.

Why Are We Hesitant About CTOS?

  1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 4.3% annual growth was below the typical industrials company
  2. Earnings per share have dipped by 45.4% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term
  3. Cash burn makes us question whether it can achieve sustainable long-term growth

Custom Truck One Source is trading at $9.84 per share, or 60.5x forward P/E. If you’re considering CTOS for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Valley National Bank (VLY)

One-Month Return: -4.9%

Tracing its roots back to 1927 during the economic boom before the Great Depression, Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQGS:VLY) operates Valley National Bank, providing commercial, consumer, and wealth management banking services across several states.

Why Do We Avoid VLY?

  1. Annual net interest income growth of 9.6% over the last five years was below our standards for the banking sector
  2. Inferior net interest margin of 3% means it must compensate for lower profitability through increased loan originations
  3. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were less profitable, as its 1.5% annual earnings per share growth trailed its revenue gains

At $12.93 per share, Valley National Bank trades at 0.9x forward P/B. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including VLY in your portfolio.

TechnipFMC (FTI)

One-Month Return: +1%

Operating a fleet of 16 specialized vessels that install equipment on the seafloor, TechnipFMC (NYSE: FTI) designs and manufactures subsea systems that control the flow of oil and natural gas from the ocean floor to processing facilities.

Why Does FTI Give Us Pause?

  1. Sales tumbled by 2.5% annually over the last five years, showing market trends are working against its favor during this cycle
  2. High extraction costs and unfavorable asset economics are reflected in its low gross margin of 18.1%

TechnipFMC’s stock price of $70.90 implies a valuation ratio of 23.5x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than FTI.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

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Our AI system flagged Palantir before it ran 1,662%. AppLovin before it ran 753%. Nvidia before it ran 1,178%. Each week it produces 6 new names that pass the same tests. Get Our Top 6 Stocks for Free HERE.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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