
Over the past six months, Clarus’s shares (currently trading at $3.37) have posted a disappointing 8.1% loss, well below the S&P 500’s 7.7% gain. This was partly due to its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is now the time to buy Clarus, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Clarus Will Underperform?
Despite the more favorable entry price, we don’t have much confidence in Clarus. Here are three reasons we avoid CLAR, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Flatter Than a Pancake
A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Unfortunately, Clarus struggled to consistently increase demand as its $251.9 million of sales for the trailing 12 months was close to its revenue five years ago. This was below our standards and is a sign of poor business quality.

2. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns
Free cash flow isn’t a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it’s telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.
Over the last two years, Clarus’s demanding reinvestments to stay relevant have drained its resources, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 2.2%, meaning it lit $2.24 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue.

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines
We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC can also be an early indicator of future business quality.
Over the last few years, Clarus’s ROIC has unfortunately decreased significantly. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

Final Judgment
We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of Clarus, we’re out. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 40.7× forward P/E (or $3.37 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere. Let us point you toward the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America.
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