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2 Reasons to Like CAVA (and 1 Not So Much)

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CAVA Cover Image

CAVA has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small return of 2.5% while holding steady at $64.27.

Given the underwhelming price action, is now a good time to buy CAVA? Or should investors expect a bumpy road ahead? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does CAVA Spark Debate?

Starting from a single Washington, D.C. location, CAVA (NYSE: CAVA) operates a fast-casual restaurant chain offering customizable Mediterranean-inspired dishes.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. New Restaurants Opening at Breakneck Speed

A restaurant chain’s total number of dining locations often determines how much revenue it can generate.

CAVA operated 469 locations in the latest quarter. It has opened new restaurants at a rapid clip over the last two years, averaging 18.7% annual growth, much faster than the broader restaurant sector. This gives it a chance to become a large, scaled business over time.

When a chain opens new restaurants, it usually means it’s investing for growth because there’s healthy demand for its meals and there are markets where its concepts have few or no locations.

CAVA Operating Locations

2. Surging Same-Store Sales Show Increasing Demand

Same-store sales is a key performance indicator used to measure organic growth at restaurants open for at least a year.

CAVA has been one of the most successful restaurant chains over the last two years thanks to skyrocketing demand within its existing dining locations. On average, the company has posted exceptional year-on-year same-store sales growth of 9.8%.

CAVA Same-Store Sales Growth

One Reason to Be Careful:

Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Although CAVA has shown solid business quality lately, it struggled to grow profitably in the past. Its five-year average ROIC was negative 5.4%, meaning management lost money while trying to expand the business.

Final Judgment

CAVA’s positive characteristics outweigh the negatives. At $64.27 per share (or 102.3× forward P/E), is now the right time to buy the stock? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

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